Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on June 26?
Highest temperature in London on June 26?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$307,303 KL.
$307,303 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$307,303 KL.
$307,303 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
32°C or below
$29,199 KL.
<1%
33°C
$26,476 KL.
<1%
34°C
$31,777 KL.
<1%
35°C
$62,408 KL.
<1%
36°C
$50,162 KL.
100%
37°C
$43,848 KL.
<1%
38°C
$30,271 KL.
<1%
39°C
$12,457 KL.
<1%
40°C
$4,628 KL.
<1%
41°C
$3,226 KL.
<1%
42°C or higher
$12,851 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$307,303Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$307,303Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance points to a 37°C peak in London on June 26 amid an established heatwave driven by a strong high-pressure ridge advecting warm, humid air from the continent. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island variability introduce meaningful uncertainty around the precise maximum, keeping the market-implied distribution centered on 34–36°C rather than locking onto the headline forecast. Recent runs show limited day-to-day shift, with only modest risk of a cooler boundary-layer mix or delayed peak timing that could cap readings at or below 35°C. Traders will watch the next 12–24 h of high-resolution guidance and any updated Met Office heat warnings for signals that could shift probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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