Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 29?
28°C 36%
29°C 36%
27°C 13%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 29, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
13%
28°C
36%
29°C
36%
30°C
11%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 36%
29°C 36%
27°C 13%
30°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 29, 2026
25°C or below
$10 KL.
3%
26°C
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$12 KL.
13%
28°C
$28 KL.
36%
29°C
$28 KL.
36%
30°C
$8 KL.
11%
31°C
$14 KL.
9%
32°C
$5 KL.
3%
33°C
$110 KL.
3%
34°C
$5 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$5 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$226Ngày kết thúc
Jun 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$226Ngày kết thúc
Jun 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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