Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 27?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 27?
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C or below 22.4%
33°C 14%
MỚI
$43,478 KL.
MỚI
$43,478 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
30°C or below
22%
31°C
27%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C or below 22.4%
33°C 14%
MỚI
$43,478 KL.
MỚI
$43,478 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
30°C or below
$3,471 KL.
22%
31°C
$4,930 KL.
27%
32°C
$5,397 KL.
29%
33°C
$4,494 KL.
14%
34°C
$4,464 KL.
9%
35°C
$6,025 KL.
2%
36°C
$4,054 KL.
1%
37°C
$3,221 KL.
<1%
38°C
$2,348 KL.
<1%
39°C
$2,387 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$2,707 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,478Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$43,478Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS indicate a surge of warmer southerly flow across the Netherlands in late June, driven by building high pressure and reduced Atlantic influence, supporting daily maxima near 32–36°C in Amsterdam on June 27. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to timing uncertainties in the warm-air advection and possible cloud or shower development, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 30–36°C. Local factors such as urban heat-island effects at the official KNMI station, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing further differentiate outcomes within a narrow range. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the June 27 resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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