Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance supports a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors partly cloudy conditions and modest warming above the 20.2°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited potential for higher readings near 23°C if afternoon insolation strengthens or lower values around 21°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Traders have positioned the 22°C outcome as the clear leader at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and proximity to resolution by official Schiphol measurements. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before the daily high is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 56%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
20°C 4%
MỚI
$30,585 KL.
MỚI
$30,585 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
19%
22°C
56%
23°C
22%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 56%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
20°C 4%
MỚI
$30,585 KL.
MỚI
$30,585 KL.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$145 KL.
<1%
17°C
$242 KL.
<1%
18°C
$26,674 KL.
<1%
19°C
$334 KL.
2%
20°C
$429 KL.
4%
21°C
$737 KL.
19%
22°C
$834 KL.
56%
23°C
$754 KL.
22%
24°C
$169 KL.
4%
25°C
$101 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$167 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance supports a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors partly cloudy conditions and modest warming above the 20.2°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited potential for higher readings near 23°C if afternoon insolation strengthens or lower values around 21°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Traders have positioned the 22°C outcome as the clear leader at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and proximity to resolution by official Schiphol measurements. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$30,585Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance supports a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors partly cloudy conditions and modest warming above the 20.2°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited potential for higher readings near 23°C if afternoon insolation strengthens or lower values around 21°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Traders have positioned the 22°C outcome as the clear leader at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and proximity to resolution by official Schiphol measurements. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$30,585Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI guidance supports a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow under building high pressure that favors partly cloudy conditions and modest warming above the 20.2°C climatological average. Ensemble spreads remain tight, with limited potential for higher readings near 23°C if afternoon insolation strengthens or lower values around 21°C if cloud cover increases earlier than expected. Traders have positioned the 22°C outcome as the clear leader at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting the narrow forecast envelope and proximity to resolution by official Schiphol measurements. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will provide the final inputs before the daily high is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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