Recent forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 32°C on August 23 under southerly flow, high low-level humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Global models show modest spread, with some ensembles favoring 33–34°C if convection initiates later or remains isolated, while official Chinese guidance emphasizes 32°C given persistent moisture and recent analogs of similar late-August patterns. Urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at the official station add small upward bias to observed maxima. Updated model runs and local radar trends ahead of the 23rd will refine convective timing and final market-implied odds clustered near 32–34°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
33°C 34%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
34%
34°C
26%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 34%
34°C 26%
32°C 23%
31°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$122 KL.
<1%
28°C
$512 KL.
<1%
29°C
$382 KL.
<1%
30°C
$36 KL.
3%
31°C
$276 KL.
8%
32°C
$192 KL.
23%
33°C
$211 KL.
34%
34°C
$328 KL.
26%
35°C
$59 KL.
7%
36°C
$19 KL.
2%
37°C or higher
$62 KL.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 32°C on August 23 under southerly flow, high low-level humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Global models show modest spread, with some ensembles favoring 33–34°C if convection initiates later or remains isolated, while official Chinese guidance emphasizes 32°C given persistent moisture and recent analogs of similar late-August patterns. Urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at the official station add small upward bias to observed maxima. Updated model runs and local radar trends ahead of the 23rd will refine convective timing and final market-implied odds clustered near 32–34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,199Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 32°C on August 23 under southerly flow, high low-level humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Global models show modest spread, with some ensembles favoring 33–34°C if convection initiates later or remains isolated, while official Chinese guidance emphasizes 32°C given persistent moisture and recent analogs of similar late-August patterns. Urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at the official station add small upward bias to observed maxima. Updated model runs and local radar trends ahead of the 23rd will refine convective timing and final market-implied odds clustered near 32–34°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,199Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Beijing Meteorological Station project a daily maximum of 32°C on August 23 under southerly flow, high low-level humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Global models show modest spread, with some ensembles favoring 33–34°C if convection initiates later or remains isolated, while official Chinese guidance emphasizes 32°C given persistent moisture and recent analogs of similar late-August patterns. Urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at the official station add small upward bias to observed maxima. Updated model runs and local radar trends ahead of the 23rd will refine convective timing and final market-implied odds clustered near 32–34°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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