Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 7?
37°C 26%
36°C 20%
39°C 17%
38°C 15%
33°C or below
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
11%
36°C
20%
37°C
26%
38°C
15%
39°C
17%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 26%
36°C 20%
39°C 17%
38°C 15%
33°C or below
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
11%
36°C
20%
37°C
26%
38°C
15%
39°C
17%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate highs of 34–37°C on July 7 amid typical midsummer conditions, with models showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover, humidity near 70–80%, and potential afternoon thunderstorms that can suppress peak readings. Official climatology places July averages around 30–31°C, though recent years have seen more frequent exceedances of 35°C amid broader warming trends. The tightly clustered market-implied odds around 35–38°C reflect this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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