Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on September 22?
Highest temperature in London on September 22?
24°C 43%
25°C 27%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
MỚI
$11,512 KL.
MỚI
$11,512 KL.
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
22%
24°C
43%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
5%
24°C 43%
25°C 27%
23°C 22%
22°C 7%
MỚI
$11,512 KL.
MỚI
$11,512 KL.
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
$86 KL.
<1%
17°C
$125 KL.
<1%
18°C
$125 KL.
<1%
19°C
$83 KL.
<1%
20°C
$185 KL.
<1%
21°C
$333 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,517 KL.
7%
23°C
$2,726 KL.
22%
24°C
$1,616 KL.
43%
25°C
$3,045 KL.
27%
26°C or higher
$1,671 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,512Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,512Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp