Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 6?
24°C 32%
23°C 29%
25°C 24%
22°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 6, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
32%
25°C
24%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 32%
23°C 29%
25°C 24%
22°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 6, 2026
17°C or below
$1,399 KL.
<1%
18°C
$189 KL.
<1%
19°C
$161 KL.
<1%
20°C
$394 KL.
1%
21°C
$1,099 KL.
4%
22°C
$933 KL.
8%
23°C
$246 KL.
29%
24°C
$1,065 KL.
32%
25°C
$442 KL.
24%
26°C
$496 KL.
5%
27°C or higher
$751 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,175Ngày kết thúc
Jul 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,175Ngày kết thúc
Jul 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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