Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 7?
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
23°C 19.2%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
23°C 19.2%
20°C 10%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 21–23°C band as most probable for São Paulo’s July 7 daily maximum because ensemble forecasts from INMET and global models show a stable winter pattern with light winds, clear skies, and dry subtropical air yielding afternoon peaks near the climatological 22°C average. Recent model runs indicate minimal frontal influence or moisture advection that could suppress or boost readings, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while the urban heat island effect adds minor variability. Official resolution relies on INMET surface observations at the city’s primary station, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing could tip the exact high within this narrow range before the market closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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