Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies and models highlights warm, humid conditions over the Korean Peninsula, with Seoul expected to reach daytime maxima near 30–32°C on July 29 amid lingering East Asian monsoon influences and potential afternoon convective activity. These factors create tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes in trader sentiment, as modest shifts in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or urban heat retention can alter the recorded peak by 1–2°C. Historical late-July baselines show typical maxima between 29–34°C, with model consensus currently favoring the middle of that envelope while acknowledging divergence in precipitation timing and steering flow that could cap or enhance heating. Updated short-range model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.