**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving trader consensus toward a 24°C or 25°C daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on September 15, 2026.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and airport observations show afternoon highs reaching 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) amid light northwest winds, low humidity (around 30–50%), and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. These align with mid-September climatology, where normal highs typically range 24–27°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences to drier autumn patterns. Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with no incoming fronts, typhoon remnants, or anomalous heat advection expected to push temperatures higher or suppress them below 23°C. Current midday readings near 24–26°C further support the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (80.5%) over 25°C (17.5%), while probabilities below 1% for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from forecast guidance on resolution day. Updated short-term model runs and official briefings will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 15?
24°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
MỚI
$52,020 KL.
MỚI
$52,020 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.7%
25°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
MỚI
$52,020 KL.
MỚI
$52,020 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
19°C or below
$132 KL.
<1%
20°C
$132 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,553 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,538 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5,153 KL.
<1%
24°C
$15,578 KL.
100%
25°C
$9,982 KL.
<1%
26°C
$10,020 KL.
<1%
27°C
$3,995 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,288 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,650 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving trader consensus toward a 24°C or 25°C daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on September 15, 2026.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and airport observations show afternoon highs reaching 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) amid light northwest winds, low humidity (around 30–50%), and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. These align with mid-September climatology, where normal highs typically range 24–27°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences to drier autumn patterns.
Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with no incoming fronts, typhoon remnants, or anomalous heat advection expected to push temperatures higher or suppress them below 23°C. Current midday readings near 24–26°C further support the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (80.5%) over 25°C (17.5%), while probabilities below 1% for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from forecast guidance on resolution day. Updated short-term model runs and official briefings will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$52,020Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving trader consensus toward a 24°C or 25°C daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on September 15, 2026.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and airport observations show afternoon highs reaching 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) amid light northwest winds, low humidity (around 30–50%), and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. These align with mid-September climatology, where normal highs typically range 24–27°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences to drier autumn patterns.
Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with no incoming fronts, typhoon remnants, or anomalous heat advection expected to push temperatures higher or suppress them below 23°C. Current midday readings near 24–26°C further support the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (80.5%) over 25°C (17.5%), while probabilities below 1% for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from forecast guidance on resolution day. Updated short-term model runs and official briefings will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$52,020Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Clear, sunny conditions under stable high pressure are driving trader consensus toward a 24°C or 25°C daily maximum for Seoul/Incheon on September 15, 2026.** Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and airport observations show afternoon highs reaching 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) amid light northwest winds, low humidity (around 30–50%), and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. These align with mid-September climatology, where normal highs typically range 24–27°C as the region transitions from summer monsoon influences to drier autumn patterns. Model consensus across sources remains tight on this range, with no incoming fronts, typhoon remnants, or anomalous heat advection expected to push temperatures higher or suppress them below 23°C. Current midday readings near 24–26°C further support the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (80.5%) over 25°C (17.5%), while probabilities below 1% for extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations from forecast guidance on resolution day. Updated short-term model runs and official briefings will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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