Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
35%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 14%
28°C 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
35%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to Shanghai experiencing thundery showers and overcast skies on June 30, limiting daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 26–27°C implied probabilities. Persistent moisture from the plum rain season's tail end, combined with light winds and high humidity, reduces solar insolation and caps temperature maxima, while any localized clearing could push readings toward 28°C. Ensemble variability in short-range guidance introduces the main uncertainty, with official updates over the next 48 hours likely to refine land-sea breeze influences and convective timing before the market resolves on verified Pudong station data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp