Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 27–36°C in Taipei on August 27 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a peak near 35°C rather than extremes. Historical August climatology for the region, featuring typical highs around 32°C, combined with current atmospheric patterns lacking strong subsidence or heat advection, underpins trader confidence in the 35°C outcome at 91.5% implied probability. Real-time measurements reaching 32–33°C by midday further reinforce this positioning. The modest 9% probability assigned to 36°C reflects remaining uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized urban heating effects that could push readings one degree higher before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 27?
35°C 89%
36°C 13%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$26,799 KL.
$26,799 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
76%
36°C
16%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 89%
36°C 13%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$26,799 KL.
$26,799 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
76%
36°C
16%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 27–36°C in Taipei on August 27 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, with model consensus and recent observations supporting a peak near 35°C rather than extremes. Historical August climatology for the region, featuring typical highs around 32°C, combined with current atmospheric patterns lacking strong subsidence or heat advection, underpins trader confidence in the 35°C outcome at 91.5% implied probability. Real-time measurements reaching 32–33°C by midday further reinforce this positioning. The modest 9% probability assigned to 36°C reflects remaining uncertainty from potential forecast revisions or localized urban heating effects that could push readings one degree higher before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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