The evenly matched 50% implied probabilities across temperature bins for Warsaw on August 28 reflect genuine forecast uncertainty driven by a transitioning synoptic pattern. A strengthening high-pressure system has advected warmer air masses, pushing recent daily maxima into the mid-20s°C, yet an approaching atmospheric front from the west is forecast to increase cloud cover, reduce insolation, and introduce possible showers or thunderstorms by late in the day. Southeastern winds may sustain mild advection while model consensus varies on the exact timing and extent of cooling or stabilization. With climatological August highs near 21–25°C and resolution hinging on official peak readings, traders await the next ensemble updates from agencies like IMGW or ECMWF to clarify whether conditions favor the lower or upper end of the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 28?
21°C or below 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C or higher
100%
21°C or below 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 28, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
22°C
$0 KL.
100%
23°C
$0 KL.
100%
24°C
$0 KL.
100%
25°C
$0 KL.
100%
26°C
$0 KL.
100%
27°C
$0 KL.
100%
28°C
$0 KL.
100%
29°C
$0 KL.
100%
30°C
$0 KL.
100%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The evenly matched 50% implied probabilities across temperature bins for Warsaw on August 28 reflect genuine forecast uncertainty driven by a transitioning synoptic pattern. A strengthening high-pressure system has advected warmer air masses, pushing recent daily maxima into the mid-20s°C, yet an approaching atmospheric front from the west is forecast to increase cloud cover, reduce insolation, and introduce possible showers or thunderstorms by late in the day. Southeastern winds may sustain mild advection while model consensus varies on the exact timing and extent of cooling or stabilization. With climatological August highs near 21–25°C and resolution hinging on official peak readings, traders await the next ensemble updates from agencies like IMGW or ECMWF to clarify whether conditions favor the lower or upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The evenly matched 50% implied probabilities across temperature bins for Warsaw on August 28 reflect genuine forecast uncertainty driven by a transitioning synoptic pattern. A strengthening high-pressure system has advected warmer air masses, pushing recent daily maxima into the mid-20s°C, yet an approaching atmospheric front from the west is forecast to increase cloud cover, reduce insolation, and introduce possible showers or thunderstorms by late in the day. Southeastern winds may sustain mild advection while model consensus varies on the exact timing and extent of cooling or stabilization. With climatological August highs near 21–25°C and resolution hinging on official peak readings, traders await the next ensemble updates from agencies like IMGW or ECMWF to clarify whether conditions favor the lower or upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The evenly matched 50% implied probabilities across temperature bins for Warsaw on August 28 reflect genuine forecast uncertainty driven by a transitioning synoptic pattern. A strengthening high-pressure system has advected warmer air masses, pushing recent daily maxima into the mid-20s°C, yet an approaching atmospheric front from the west is forecast to increase cloud cover, reduce insolation, and introduce possible showers or thunderstorms by late in the day. Southeastern winds may sustain mild advection while model consensus varies on the exact timing and extent of cooling or stabilization. With climatological August highs near 21–25°C and resolution hinging on official peak readings, traders await the next ensemble updates from agencies like IMGW or ECMWF to clarify whether conditions favor the lower or upper end of the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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