The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.68% as of mid-August 2026 after climbing from lower levels earlier in the summer, reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation readings around 3%, and a Federal Reserve on hold amid divided policy views. Traders price limited near-term easing as strong labor market data and fiscal supply pressures offset cooler June CPI prints, keeping implied rate paths elevated versus prior expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, monthly CPI and PPI releases, and Q3 GDP data that could shift inflation trajectories or growth forecasts. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether yields can retest sub-4% levels by year-end given persistent supply shocks and deficit concerns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$225,112 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
12%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
2%
3.6%
5%
3.5%
4%
3.0%
2%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
$225,112 KL.
3.9%
$44,197 KL.
12%
3.8%
$41,312 KL.
5%
3.7%
$27,333 KL.
2%
3.6%
$5,537 KL.
5%
3.5%
$32,973 KL.
4%
3.0%
$917 KL.
2%
2.0%
$514 KL.
2%
1.0%
$40,570 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.68% as of mid-August 2026 after climbing from lower levels earlier in the summer, reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation readings around 3%, and a Federal Reserve on hold amid divided policy views. Traders price limited near-term easing as strong labor market data and fiscal supply pressures offset cooler June CPI prints, keeping implied rate paths elevated versus prior expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, monthly CPI and PPI releases, and Q3 GDP data that could shift inflation trajectories or growth forecasts. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether yields can retest sub-4% levels by year-end given persistent supply shocks and deficit concerns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$225,112Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.68% as of mid-August 2026 after climbing from lower levels earlier in the summer, reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation readings around 3%, and a Federal Reserve on hold amid divided policy views. Traders price limited near-term easing as strong labor market data and fiscal supply pressures offset cooler June CPI prints, keeping implied rate paths elevated versus prior expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, monthly CPI and PPI releases, and Q3 GDP data that could shift inflation trajectories or growth forecasts. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether yields can retest sub-4% levels by year-end given persistent supply shocks and deficit concerns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Khối lượng
$225,112Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.68% as of mid-August 2026 after climbing from lower levels earlier in the summer, reflects resilient U.S. economic growth, sticky inflation readings around 3%, and a Federal Reserve on hold amid divided policy views. Traders price limited near-term easing as strong labor market data and fiscal supply pressures offset cooler June CPI prints, keeping implied rate paths elevated versus prior expectations. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting, monthly CPI and PPI releases, and Q3 GDP data that could shift inflation trajectories or growth forecasts. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty over whether yields can retest sub-4% levels by year-end given persistent supply shocks and deficit concerns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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