Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration points to clear skies and light northerly winds overnight, promoting strong radiational cooling that supports an expected minimum near 8°C in Busan on October 15. This aligns with the market's dominant 94.5% implied probability for 8°C, reflecting trader assessment of current atmospheric conditions and historical October cooling patterns under similar high-pressure setups. Uncertainty remains from potential model revisions on cloud cover or wind shifts, which could limit overnight temperature drops and push the recorded low above the primary threshold before the daily minimum is finalized.