**Forecast consensus across multiple meteorological models and agencies has locked in an overnight low of 19°C for Chengdu on October 14, 2026, driving the near-certain market pricing at that level.** Consistent outputs from sources including WindBorne Systems, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological platforms show the diurnal minimum reaching approximately 19°C (66°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northerly winds and high humidity, typical of autumn subsidence patterns in the Sichuan Basin. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-October, where radiative cooling overnight under stable high pressure produces lows in the upper teens Celsius. The 24°C outcome remains improbable absent a major unforecasted warming event or station-specific anomaly. Potential challenges include localized microclimate effects at the official reporting station or revisions in final verified observations, though current model agreement and real-time data make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.