Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on July 8?
16°C 45%
17°C 44%
18°C 38%
21°C 32%
15°C or below
18%
16°C
45%
17°C
44%
18°C
38%
19°C
18%
20°C
28%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
17°C 44%
18°C 38%
21°C 32%
15°C or below
18%
16°C
45%
17°C
44%
18°C
38%
19°C
18%
20°C
28%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris minimum temperatures on July 8 near 17°C, reflecting a dominant warm air mass and high-pressure ridge limiting nocturnal cooling. Clear skies and light winds promote some radiative heat loss overnight, yet the overall thermal profile and urban heat island effect keep readings above seasonal normals around 14–16°C. Small differences among leading outcomes (16–18°C) hinge on subtle variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the ongoing heat dome. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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