Recent forecast model consensus from sources including GFS indicates overnight lows near 20–21°C for Tel Aviv on October 17, driven by southwest flow, elevated Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, and incoming showers that limit radiative cooling. Scattered precipitation and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum, as clearer intervals could allow brief drops while persistent moisture supports milder readings. This aligns with below-average conditions for mid-October, though historical variability in autumn fronts keeps probabilities for sub-16°C or 25°C+ outcomes competitive among traders assessing model spread and steering patterns ahead of final observational data.