Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Tokyo on August 6 indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C under a stable, humid subtropical airmass with highs near 32–35°C and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, urban heat retention, and exact timing of any weak frontal influence that could nudge the overnight low across the threshold. August climatology supports typical lows of 24–26°C, with current conditions showing no strong cooling signals such as clear skies or drier air that would favor sub-24°C readings. Updated model runs and the morning JMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine resolution probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$347 KL.
<1%
21°C
$156 KL.
<1%
22°C
$177 KL.
<1%
23°C
$161 KL.
1%
24°C
$179 KL.
3%
25°C
$472 KL.
47%
26°C
$355 KL.
42%
27°C
$243 KL.
1%
28°C
$296 KL.
1%
29°C
$215 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$307 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Tokyo on August 6 indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C under a stable, humid subtropical airmass with highs near 32–35°C and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, urban heat retention, and exact timing of any weak frontal influence that could nudge the overnight low across the threshold. August climatology supports typical lows of 24–26°C, with current conditions showing no strong cooling signals such as clear skies or drier air that would favor sub-24°C readings. Updated model runs and the morning JMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,909Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Tokyo on August 6 indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C under a stable, humid subtropical airmass with highs near 32–35°C and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, urban heat retention, and exact timing of any weak frontal influence that could nudge the overnight low across the threshold. August climatology supports typical lows of 24–26°C, with current conditions showing no strong cooling signals such as clear skies or drier air that would favor sub-24°C readings. Updated model runs and the morning JMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,909Ngày kết thúc
Aug 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Tokyo on August 6 indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C under a stable, humid subtropical airmass with highs near 32–35°C and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 25°C (47%) and 26°C (41.5%) reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, urban heat retention, and exact timing of any weak frontal influence that could nudge the overnight low across the threshold. August climatology supports typical lows of 24–26°C, with current conditions showing no strong cooling signals such as clear skies or drier air that would favor sub-24°C readings. Updated model runs and the morning JMA briefing remain the key near-term catalysts likely to refine resolution probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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