Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a mild overnight low near 10–12°C for Warsaw on October 7, driven by southerly to southeasterly flow advecting warmer air and moderate cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. With the market-implied probabilities for the extremes (5°C or below versus 15°C or higher) nearly balanced near 50% each, traders appear focused on remaining forecast uncertainty from model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute shifts in high-pressure positioning or wind speeds. Historical October climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima around 8–11°C, providing context for why precise resolution hinges on updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management over the next 48 hours.