Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, fueled by clusters of unvaccinated individuals, continues to drive case counts higher, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Multiple outbreaks across 45 states reflect sustained community spread, primarily among those with unknown or zero MMR vaccination status. Weekly CDC surveillance updates, which include new confirmed cases and outbreak status, represent key data releases that could shift market-implied odds in the final weeks before the August 31 resolution threshold. Historical patterns show measles case growth accelerates in late summer when school-related mixing increases, though vaccination coverage and public health interventions can moderate trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMeasles cases in U.S. by August 31?
Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
2400+
98%
2450+
92%
2500+
82%
2550+
53%
2600+
57%
$657 KL.
2400+
$492 KL.
98%
2450+
$125 KL.
92%
2500+
$0 KL.
82%
2550+
$29 KL.
53%
2600+
$10 KL.
57%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, fueled by clusters of unvaccinated individuals, continues to drive case counts higher, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Multiple outbreaks across 45 states reflect sustained community spread, primarily among those with unknown or zero MMR vaccination status. Weekly CDC surveillance updates, which include new confirmed cases and outbreak status, represent key data releases that could shift market-implied odds in the final weeks before the August 31 resolution threshold. Historical patterns show measles case growth accelerates in late summer when school-related mixing increases, though vaccination coverage and public health interventions can moderate trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Khối lượng
$657Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, fueled by clusters of unvaccinated individuals, continues to drive case counts higher, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Multiple outbreaks across 45 states reflect sustained community spread, primarily among those with unknown or zero MMR vaccination status. Weekly CDC surveillance updates, which include new confirmed cases and outbreak status, represent key data releases that could shift market-implied odds in the final weeks before the August 31 resolution threshold. Historical patterns show measles case growth accelerates in late summer when school-related mixing increases, though vaccination coverage and public health interventions can moderate trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Khối lượng
$657Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing measles transmission in the United States, fueled by clusters of unvaccinated individuals, continues to drive case counts higher, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual figure since 1991. Multiple outbreaks across 45 states reflect sustained community spread, primarily among those with unknown or zero MMR vaccination status. Weekly CDC surveillance updates, which include new confirmed cases and outbreak status, represent key data releases that could shift market-implied odds in the final weeks before the August 31 resolution threshold. Historical patterns show measles case growth accelerates in late summer when school-related mixing increases, though vaccination coverage and public health interventions can moderate trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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