Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and iterative Muse Spark large language models have reinforced trader confidence in AI-driven ad efficiency and new subscription features like Meta One, anchoring implied odds near the current ~$1.72T market cap. Solid Q2 revenue growth of 28% and analyst upgrades ahead of the late-September Connect event add momentum, while elevated AI infrastructure spending and the October 28 earnings release introduce near-term volatility that could shift outcomes within the $1.5–2T bands. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of demonstrated product progress against execution and cost risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.50-$1.75T 40%
$1.75-$2.00T 30%
$1.25-$1.50T 18%
$2.00-$2.25T 10.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
3%
$1.00-$1.25T
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
18%
$1.50-$1.75T
40%
$1.75-$2.00T
30%
$2.00-$2.25T
10%
$2.25T+
5%
$1.50-$1.75T 40%
$1.75-$2.00T 30%
$1.25-$1.50T 18%
$2.00-$2.25T 10.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$183 KL.
3%
$1.00-$1.25T
$773 KL.
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
$43 KL.
18%
$1.50-$1.75T
$1,589 KL.
40%
$1.75-$2.00T
$1,372 KL.
30%
$2.00-$2.25T
$217 KL.
10%
$2.25T+
$299 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and iterative Muse Spark large language models have reinforced trader confidence in AI-driven ad efficiency and new subscription features like Meta One, anchoring implied odds near the current ~$1.72T market cap. Solid Q2 revenue growth of 28% and analyst upgrades ahead of the late-September Connect event add momentum, while elevated AI infrastructure spending and the October 28 earnings release introduce near-term volatility that could shift outcomes within the $1.5–2T bands. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of demonstrated product progress against execution and cost risks.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,476Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and iterative Muse Spark large language models have reinforced trader confidence in AI-driven ad efficiency and new subscription features like Meta One, anchoring implied odds near the current ~$1.72T market cap. Solid Q2 revenue growth of 28% and analyst upgrades ahead of the late-September Connect event add momentum, while elevated AI infrastructure spending and the October 28 earnings release introduce near-term volatility that could shift outcomes within the $1.5–2T bands. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of demonstrated product progress against execution and cost risks.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Khối lượng
$4,476Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 2:46 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent launches of Meta’s Muse personal AI agent and iterative Muse Spark large language models have reinforced trader confidence in AI-driven ad efficiency and new subscription features like Meta One, anchoring implied odds near the current ~$1.72T market cap. Solid Q2 revenue growth of 28% and analyst upgrades ahead of the late-September Connect event add momentum, while elevated AI infrastructure spending and the October 28 earnings release introduce near-term volatility that could shift outcomes within the $1.5–2T bands. Market-implied probabilities reflect this balance of demonstrated product progress against execution and cost risks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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