Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat and term-limited governorship create intertwined dynamics in the November 2026 general election, with Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson facing Republican nominees Mike Rogers and John James. The narrow Democratic Senate primary, decided by under one percentage point, highlighted divisions that could affect general election turnout and swing voter alignment in this battleground state. Recent polling averages show the Senate contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, while the gubernatorial race tilts Democratic, sustaining trader consensus around a Democratic sweep at 56% amid uncertainty over turnout, economic messaging, and national political conditions that could shift either chamber independently.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 56%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 34%
Reps sweep 10%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
56%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
34%
Reps sweep
10%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
4%
Dems sweep 56%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 34%
Reps sweep 10%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.6%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$126 KL.
56%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$111 KL.
34%
Reps sweep
$445 KL.
10%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$631 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat and term-limited governorship create intertwined dynamics in the November 2026 general election, with Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson facing Republican nominees Mike Rogers and John James. The narrow Democratic Senate primary, decided by under one percentage point, highlighted divisions that could affect general election turnout and swing voter alignment in this battleground state. Recent polling averages show the Senate contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, while the gubernatorial race tilts Democratic, sustaining trader consensus around a Democratic sweep at 56% amid uncertainty over turnout, economic messaging, and national political conditions that could shift either chamber independently.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,313Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat and term-limited governorship create intertwined dynamics in the November 2026 general election, with Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson facing Republican nominees Mike Rogers and John James. The narrow Democratic Senate primary, decided by under one percentage point, highlighted divisions that could affect general election turnout and swing voter alignment in this battleground state. Recent polling averages show the Senate contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, while the gubernatorial race tilts Democratic, sustaining trader consensus around a Democratic sweep at 56% amid uncertainty over turnout, economic messaging, and national political conditions that could shift either chamber independently.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$1,313Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Michigan's open U.S. Senate seat and term-limited governorship create intertwined dynamics in the November 2026 general election, with Democratic nominees Abdul El-Sayed and Jocelyn Benson facing Republican nominees Mike Rogers and John James. The narrow Democratic Senate primary, decided by under one percentage point, highlighted divisions that could affect general election turnout and swing voter alignment in this battleground state. Recent polling averages show the Senate contest as a toss-up or slight Democratic lean, while the gubernatorial race tilts Democratic, sustaining trader consensus around a Democratic sweep at 56% amid uncertainty over turnout, economic messaging, and national political conditions that could shift either chamber independently.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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