Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, driving the 89.5% trader consensus on a Democratic sweep. Peggy Flanagan secured the Senate nomination with nearly 59% of the Democratic primary vote and holds double-digit leads over Republican Michele Tafoya in recent polling, consistent with “Likely Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Amy Klobuchar, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee after Tim Walz’s retirement, maintains an 8–13 point advantage over Republican Lisa Demuth across available surveys. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, combined with the nominees’ statewide profiles and the absence of major late developments altering the fundamentals, supports the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 90%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.5%
Reps sweep 1.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
90%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
4%
Reps sweep
1%
Dems sweep 90%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 3.5%
Reps sweep 1.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$529 KL.
90%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$91 KL.
7%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$101 KL.
4%
Reps sweep
$143 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, driving the 89.5% trader consensus on a Democratic sweep. Peggy Flanagan secured the Senate nomination with nearly 59% of the Democratic primary vote and holds double-digit leads over Republican Michele Tafoya in recent polling, consistent with “Likely Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Amy Klobuchar, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee after Tim Walz’s retirement, maintains an 8–13 point advantage over Republican Lisa Demuth across available surveys. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, combined with the nominees’ statewide profiles and the absence of major late developments altering the fundamentals, supports the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$863Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, driving the 89.5% trader consensus on a Democratic sweep. Peggy Flanagan secured the Senate nomination with nearly 59% of the Democratic primary vote and holds double-digit leads over Republican Michele Tafoya in recent polling, consistent with “Likely Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Amy Klobuchar, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee after Tim Walz’s retirement, maintains an 8–13 point advantage over Republican Lisa Demuth across available surveys. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, combined with the nominees’ statewide profiles and the absence of major late developments altering the fundamentals, supports the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Minnesota that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$863Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 19, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Minnesota’s open U.S. Senate seat and gubernatorial race both favor Democratic nominees following the August 11 primaries, driving the 89.5% trader consensus on a Democratic sweep. Peggy Flanagan secured the Senate nomination with nearly 59% of the Democratic primary vote and holds double-digit leads over Republican Michele Tafoya in recent polling, consistent with “Likely Democratic” ratings from multiple forecasters. Amy Klobuchar, the Democratic gubernatorial nominee after Tim Walz’s retirement, maintains an 8–13 point advantage over Republican Lisa Demuth across available surveys. Minnesota’s consistent Democratic performance in statewide contests since 2002, combined with the nominees’ statewide profiles and the absence of major late developments altering the fundamentals, supports the current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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