Narendra Modi's NDA coalition maintains a working majority in the Lok Sabha with no scheduled no-confidence motion or reported coalition fractures that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. Recent state election gains by the BJP, including in Delhi and Bihar, have reinforced institutional dominance and reduced opposition leverage. Youth-led protests in mid-2026 calling for resignation highlighted public discontent over education and governance but produced no parliamentary challenge or leadership change. With no term limits applying and only months remaining in the resolution window, traders assign the "No" outcome a 92 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of credible removal pathways short of unforeseen health or scandal events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
8% khả năng
$245,429 KL.
$245,429 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
8% khả năng
$245,429 KL.
$245,429 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's NDA coalition maintains a working majority in the Lok Sabha with no scheduled no-confidence motion or reported coalition fractures that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. Recent state election gains by the BJP, including in Delhi and Bihar, have reinforced institutional dominance and reduced opposition leverage. Youth-led protests in mid-2026 calling for resignation highlighted public discontent over education and governance but produced no parliamentary challenge or leadership change. With no term limits applying and only months remaining in the resolution window, traders assign the "No" outcome a 92 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of credible removal pathways short of unforeseen health or scandal events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$245,429Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's NDA coalition maintains a working majority in the Lok Sabha with no scheduled no-confidence motion or reported coalition fractures that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. Recent state election gains by the BJP, including in Delhi and Bihar, have reinforced institutional dominance and reduced opposition leverage. Youth-led protests in mid-2026 calling for resignation highlighted public discontent over education and governance but produced no parliamentary challenge or leadership change. With no term limits applying and only months remaining in the resolution window, traders assign the "No" outcome a 92 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of credible removal pathways short of unforeseen health or scandal events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$245,429Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's NDA coalition maintains a working majority in the Lok Sabha with no scheduled no-confidence motion or reported coalition fractures that would force his exit before December 31, 2026. Recent state election gains by the BJP, including in Delhi and Bihar, have reinforced institutional dominance and reduced opposition leverage. Youth-led protests in mid-2026 calling for resignation highlighted public discontent over education and governance but produced no parliamentary challenge or leadership change. With no term limits applying and only months remaining in the resolution window, traders assign the "No" outcome a 92 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of credible removal pathways short of unforeseen health or scandal events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp