Micron shares closed near $1,016 on September 18 after a sharp intraday rebound, yet the week-ahead Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (44%) to a Friday close below $920. That positioning reflects trader caution ahead of the September 30 fiscal fourth-quarter print, where consensus expects roughly $50 billion in revenue and $31 adjusted EPS—more than ten times year-ago levels—driven by sustained AI-related DRAM and HBM demand, industry-wide supply tightness, and gross margins near 86%. Recent developments, including Intel’s warning of worsening memory scarcity into 2027 and Micron’s new India assembly facility, reinforce the fundamental upcycle, but the stock’s 9% pullback over the prior week and its 19% distance from June’s $1,255 peak have elevated near-term downside odds. With earnings still a week away and no major macroeconomic releases scheduled before September 25, the distribution of probabilities centers on how much of the extraordinary margin expansion and pricing power is already reflected in the current valuation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<$920 49%
$1,000-$1,020 16%
$980-$1,000 15%
$1,020-$1,040 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
<$920
49%
$920-$940
11%
$940-$960
8%
$960-$980
10%
$980-$1,000
15%
$1,000-$1,020
16%
$1,020-$1,040
15%
$1,040-$1,060
14%
$1,060-$1,080
12%
$1,080-$1,100
11%
>$1,100
13%
<$920 49%
$1,000-$1,020 16%
$980-$1,000 15%
$1,020-$1,040 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 25, 2026
<$920
$0 KL.
49%
$920-$940
$0 KL.
11%
$940-$960
$0 KL.
8%
$960-$980
$0 KL.
10%
$980-$1,000
$0 KL.
15%
$1,000-$1,020
$0 KL.
16%
$1,020-$1,040
$0 KL.
15%
$1,040-$1,060
$0 KL.
14%
$1,060-$1,080
$0 KL.
12%
$1,080-$1,100
$0 KL.
11%
>$1,100
$0 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.Micron shares closed near $1,016 on September 18 after a sharp intraday rebound, yet the week-ahead Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (44%) to a Friday close below $920. That positioning reflects trader caution ahead of the September 30 fiscal fourth-quarter print, where consensus expects roughly $50 billion in revenue and $31 adjusted EPS—more than ten times year-ago levels—driven by sustained AI-related DRAM and HBM demand, industry-wide supply tightness, and gross margins near 86%. Recent developments, including Intel’s warning of worsening memory scarcity into 2027 and Micron’s new India assembly facility, reinforce the fundamental upcycle, but the stock’s 9% pullback over the prior week and its 19% distance from June’s $1,255 peak have elevated near-term downside odds. With earnings still a week away and no major macroeconomic releases scheduled before September 25, the distribution of probabilities centers on how much of the extraordinary margin expansion and pricing power is already reflected in the current valuation.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.Micron shares closed near $1,016 on September 18 after a sharp intraday rebound, yet the week-ahead Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (44%) to a Friday close below $920. That positioning reflects trader caution ahead of the September 30 fiscal fourth-quarter print, where consensus expects roughly $50 billion in revenue and $31 adjusted EPS—more than ten times year-ago levels—driven by sustained AI-related DRAM and HBM demand, industry-wide supply tightness, and gross margins near 86%. Recent developments, including Intel’s warning of worsening memory scarcity into 2027 and Micron’s new India assembly facility, reinforce the fundamental upcycle, but the stock’s 9% pullback over the prior week and its 19% distance from June’s $1,255 peak have elevated near-term downside odds. With earnings still a week away and no major macroeconomic releases scheduled before September 25, the distribution of probabilities centers on how much of the extraordinary margin expansion and pricing power is already reflected in the current valuation.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Micron shares closed near $1,016 on September 18 after a sharp intraday rebound, yet the week-ahead Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability (44%) to a Friday close below $920. That positioning reflects trader caution ahead of the September 30 fiscal fourth-quarter print, where consensus expects roughly $50 billion in revenue and $31 adjusted EPS—more than ten times year-ago levels—driven by sustained AI-related DRAM and HBM demand, industry-wide supply tightness, and gross margins near 86%. Recent developments, including Intel’s warning of worsening memory scarcity into 2027 and Micron’s new India assembly facility, reinforce the fundamental upcycle, but the stock’s 9% pullback over the prior week and its 19% distance from June’s $1,255 peak have elevated near-term downside odds. With earnings still a week away and no major macroeconomic releases scheduled before September 25, the distribution of probabilities centers on how much of the extraordinary margin expansion and pricing power is already reflected in the current valuation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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