The Knicks' Game 1 road victory over the Spurs established a meaningful historical edge, as NBA Finals teams winning the opener have captured the title in roughly 60-65% of prior series. New York's resilient comeback from a double-digit deficit, powered by Jalen Brunson's fourth-quarter heroics, reinforced that positioning while giving the Knicks an early 2-1 series lead. San Antonio's young core, anchored by Victor Wembanyama, has shown fight in Game 3 but now trails with limited rest advantages and must win on the road to force longer series play. Trader consensus at 63.5% for the Game 1 winner reflects this combination of precedent, recent form, and home-court dynamics still ahead, though upsets remain possible in a best-of-seven format.