New Hampshire's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a Republican-held governorship with Kelly Ayotte seeking re-election. Recent polling averages show Ayotte leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly 6-8 points in the governor's race, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. In the Senate contest, Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 11-13 point edge over leading Republicans such as John Sununu in most surveys, though some June and July 2026 polls indicate a tightening margin. These patterns support trader consensus around a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, while full sweeps remain lower probability given the divergent leanings of the two contests ahead of the September 8 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 68%
Dems sweep 12%
Reps sweep 11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
68%
Dems sweep
12%
Reps sweep
11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
2%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 68%
Dems sweep 12%
Reps sweep 11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 1.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$1,796 KL.
68%
Dems sweep
$1,282 KL.
12%
Reps sweep
$588 KL.
11%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$38 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
New Hampshire's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a Republican-held governorship with Kelly Ayotte seeking re-election. Recent polling averages show Ayotte leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly 6-8 points in the governor's race, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. In the Senate contest, Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 11-13 point edge over leading Republicans such as John Sununu in most surveys, though some June and July 2026 polls indicate a tightening margin. These patterns support trader consensus around a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, while full sweeps remain lower probability given the divergent leanings of the two contests ahead of the September 8 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,704Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
New Hampshire's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a Republican-held governorship with Kelly Ayotte seeking re-election. Recent polling averages show Ayotte leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly 6-8 points in the governor's race, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. In the Senate contest, Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 11-13 point edge over leading Republicans such as John Sununu in most surveys, though some June and July 2026 polls indicate a tightening margin. These patterns support trader consensus around a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, while full sweeps remain lower probability given the divergent leanings of the two contests ahead of the September 8 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$3,704Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New Hampshire's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a Republican-held governorship with Kelly Ayotte seeking re-election. Recent polling averages show Ayotte leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly 6-8 points in the governor's race, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. In the Senate contest, Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 11-13 point edge over leading Republicans such as John Sununu in most surveys, though some June and July 2026 polls indicate a tightening margin. These patterns support trader consensus around a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, while full sweeps remain lower probability given the divergent leanings of the two contests ahead of the September 8 primaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp