Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 91% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by reports over the past 48 hours of final negotiations and a verbal agreement reached with club president Florentino Pérez, positioning him as the sole candidate to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa's tenure, starting in January after Xabi Alonso's midseason sacking, faltered with a Champions League exit to Bayern Munich in April and a faltering La Liga title challenge, prompting a summer overhaul despite his 49.5% standing from loyalty and recent stability. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu stint (2010-13), including a record 100-point La Liga season, bolsters his appeal for instant impact. Scenarios like Pérez's final veto, club elections delaying the hire, or Arbeloa's retention could still shift odds, though trader sentiment reflects near-certainty on the Special One's return.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJose Mourinho 92%
Didier Deschamps 4.0%
Thomas Tuchel 3.0%
Jurgen Klopp 1.7%
$116,302 KL.
$116,302 KL.
Jose Mourinho
92%
Didier Deschamps
4%
Thomas Tuchel
3%
Jurgen Klopp
2%
Zinedine Zidane
1%
Mauricio Pochettino
1%
Luis Enrique
1%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Unai Emery
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Julian Nagelsmann
1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Lionel Scaloni
<1%
Jose Mourinho 92%
Didier Deschamps 4.0%
Thomas Tuchel 3.0%
Jurgen Klopp 1.7%
$116,302 KL.
$116,302 KL.
Jose Mourinho
92%
Didier Deschamps
4%
Thomas Tuchel
3%
Jurgen Klopp
2%
Zinedine Zidane
1%
Mauricio Pochettino
1%
Luis Enrique
1%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Unai Emery
1%
Mikel Arteta
1%
Julian Nagelsmann
1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Lionel Scaloni
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Jose Mourinho at 91% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, driven by reports over the past 48 hours of final negotiations and a verbal agreement reached with club president Florentino Pérez, positioning him as the sole candidate to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa. Arbeloa's tenure, starting in January after Xabi Alonso's midseason sacking, faltered with a Champions League exit to Bayern Munich in April and a faltering La Liga title challenge, prompting a summer overhaul despite his 49.5% standing from loyalty and recent stability. Mourinho's prior Bernabéu stint (2010-13), including a record 100-point La Liga season, bolsters his appeal for instant impact. Scenarios like Pérez's final veto, club elections delaying the hire, or Arbeloa's retention could still shift odds, though trader sentiment reflects near-certainty on the Special One's return.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp