Netflix shares have traded near $81–82 following a July 2026 earnings-driven pullback from the $126 high, with Q2 revenue rising 13% year over year to $12.6 billion while management narrowed full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $51.0–51.4 billion. Recent catalysts include Wolfe Research raising its price target to $95, Pershing Square’s acquisition of roughly 13 million shares, and nearly doubled advertising commitments for the 2026–27 upfront, supporting expectations for margin expansion to 31.5%. These factors anchor the highest implied probability on the $80–90 close for the week of August 31, while the distribution across wider ranges reflects uncertainty around sustained ad scaling, competitive pressures from YouTube, and the absence of near-term earnings or macroeconomic surprises before the October report. Trader positioning embeds the stock’s position below the 200-day average yet above July lows, consistent with consensus targets clustering near $94.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$80-$90 70%
<$40 66%
>$130 44%
$90-$100 30%
<$40
66%
$40-$50
1%
$50-$60
22%
$60-$70
26%
$70-$80
27%
$80-$90
70%
$90-$100
30%
$100-$110
17%
$110-$120
29%
$120-$130
-
>$130
44%
$80-$90 70%
<$40 66%
>$130 44%
$90-$100 30%
<$40
66%
$40-$50
1%
$50-$60
22%
$60-$70
26%
$70-$80
27%
$80-$90
70%
$90-$100
30%
$100-$110
17%
$110-$120
29%
$120-$130
-
>$130
44%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Netflix shares have traded near $81–82 following a July 2026 earnings-driven pullback from the $126 high, with Q2 revenue rising 13% year over year to $12.6 billion while management narrowed full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $51.0–51.4 billion. Recent catalysts include Wolfe Research raising its price target to $95, Pershing Square’s acquisition of roughly 13 million shares, and nearly doubled advertising commitments for the 2026–27 upfront, supporting expectations for margin expansion to 31.5%. These factors anchor the highest implied probability on the $80–90 close for the week of August 31, while the distribution across wider ranges reflects uncertainty around sustained ad scaling, competitive pressures from YouTube, and the absence of near-term earnings or macroeconomic surprises before the October report. Trader positioning embeds the stock’s position below the 200-day average yet above July lows, consistent with consensus targets clustering near $94.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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