Trader consensus prices Magnus Carlsen at 66% implied probability to win Norway Chess 2026, anchored by his world #1 FIDE rating of 2840—80+ points ahead of the field—and dominant TePe Sigeman & Co. victory last week on blitz tiebreak against Arjun Erigaisi, reaffirming his classical prowess in the home nation's premier super-tournament. Vincent Keymer's 11.5% share stems from his April Grenke Freestyle Open title on tiebreaks, signaling rising form at 2759 Elo. Alireza Firouzja (9%, 2759) offers aggressive upside, while World Champion Gukesh Dommaraju (8.5%) contends with recent slumps including last place at March's Prague Masters. Wesley So (7%, recent American Cup winner) and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (7.5%) complete the six-player double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks, starting May 25 in Oslo.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMagnus Carlsen 64%
Vincent Keymer 12%
Alireza Firouzja 10%
Gukesh Dommaraju 9%
Magnus Carlsen
64%
Vincent Keymer
12%
Alireza Firouzja
10%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8%
Wesley So
8%
Magnus Carlsen 64%
Vincent Keymer 12%
Alireza Firouzja 10%
Gukesh Dommaraju 9%
Magnus Carlsen
64%
Vincent Keymer
12%
Alireza Firouzja
10%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8%
Wesley So
8%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Magnus Carlsen at 66% implied probability to win Norway Chess 2026, anchored by his world #1 FIDE rating of 2840—80+ points ahead of the field—and dominant TePe Sigeman & Co. victory last week on blitz tiebreak against Arjun Erigaisi, reaffirming his classical prowess in the home nation's premier super-tournament. Vincent Keymer's 11.5% share stems from his April Grenke Freestyle Open title on tiebreaks, signaling rising form at 2759 Elo. Alireza Firouzja (9%, 2759) offers aggressive upside, while World Champion Gukesh Dommaraju (8.5%) contends with recent slumps including last place at March's Prague Masters. Wesley So (7%, recent American Cup winner) and Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu (7.5%) complete the six-player double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks, starting May 25 in Oslo.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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