With many adapted screenplay contenders clustered at similar market-implied odds around 50% or below in this early August 2026 cycle, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the category before major 2026 releases and precursor awards begin shaping narratives. Films like The Odyssey, All of a Sudden, and Project Hail Mary sit slightly ahead of later entries such as Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5, driven by source material pedigree, announced directors, and initial buzz rather than confirmed guild momentum or reviews. Historical patterns show adapted races often hinge on late-year critical reception and Writers Guild nominations, leaving room for shifts once box office data, festival premieres, and academy voting bodies weigh in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
The Odyssey 45%
Clarissa 34%
Ink 33%
Cry to Heaven 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
45%
Clarissa
34%
Ink
33%
Cry to Heaven
33%
Project Hail Mary
30%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
30%
All of a Sudden
29%
The Whisper Man
29%
Saturn Return
28%
The Social Reckoning
28%
Wildwood
28%
The Invite
25%
The Black Ball
24%
Dune: Part Three
18%
Toy Story 5
18%
The Odyssey 45%
Clarissa 34%
Ink 33%
Cry to Heaven 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Mar 14, 2027
The Odyssey
$1 KL.
45%
Clarissa
$0 KL.
34%
Ink
$0 KL.
33%
Cry to Heaven
$0 KL.
33%
Project Hail Mary
$0 KL.
30%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$0 KL.
30%
All of a Sudden
$0 KL.
29%
The Whisper Man
$0 KL.
29%
Saturn Return
$0 KL.
28%
The Social Reckoning
$0 KL.
28%
Wildwood
$0 KL.
28%
The Invite
$0 KL.
25%
The Black Ball
$0 KL.
24%
Dune: Part Three
$0 KL.
18%
Toy Story 5
$100 KL.
18%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With many adapted screenplay contenders clustered at similar market-implied odds around 50% or below in this early August 2026 cycle, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the category before major 2026 releases and precursor awards begin shaping narratives. Films like The Odyssey, All of a Sudden, and Project Hail Mary sit slightly ahead of later entries such as Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5, driven by source material pedigree, announced directors, and initial buzz rather than confirmed guild momentum or reviews. Historical patterns show adapted races often hinge on late-year critical reception and Writers Guild nominations, leaving room for shifts once box office data, festival premieres, and academy voting bodies weigh in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$101Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With many adapted screenplay contenders clustered at similar market-implied odds around 50% or below in this early August 2026 cycle, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the category before major 2026 releases and precursor awards begin shaping narratives. Films like The Odyssey, All of a Sudden, and Project Hail Mary sit slightly ahead of later entries such as Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5, driven by source material pedigree, announced directors, and initial buzz rather than confirmed guild momentum or reviews. Historical patterns show adapted races often hinge on late-year critical reception and Writers Guild nominations, leaving room for shifts once box office data, festival premieres, and academy voting bodies weigh in.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$101Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With many adapted screenplay contenders clustered at similar market-implied odds around 50% or below in this early August 2026 cycle, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the category before major 2026 releases and precursor awards begin shaping narratives. Films like The Odyssey, All of a Sudden, and Project Hail Mary sit slightly ahead of later entries such as Dune: Part Three and Toy Story 5, driven by source material pedigree, announced directors, and initial buzz rather than confirmed guild momentum or reviews. Historical patterns show adapted races often hinge on late-year critical reception and Writers Guild nominations, leaving room for shifts once box office data, festival premieres, and academy voting bodies weigh in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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