The People's Bank of China has held its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% through multiple monthly fixings into mid-2026, reflecting a pattern of steady policy amid mixed growth signals and external pressures. Recent data showing slower industrial output and retail sales has been offset by resilient early-year expansion and rising inflation linked to global energy costs, reducing immediate pressure for further easing. Traders assign a 90.5% probability to no change in the June fixing as the central bank maintains its moderately accommodative stance through other liquidity tools while monitoring domestic demand and currency stability. A sharper downturn in key indicators or escalation in trade or geopolitical tensions could prompt a cut, though such shifts would need to overcome the current emphasis on measured adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo Change 94%
Decrease 16%
Increase 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
Increase
8%
No Change
91%
Decrease
16%
No Change 94%
Decrease 16%
Increase 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
Increase
$236 KL.
8%
No Change
$125 KL.
91%
Decrease
$39 KL.
16%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has held its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% through multiple monthly fixings into mid-2026, reflecting a pattern of steady policy amid mixed growth signals and external pressures. Recent data showing slower industrial output and retail sales has been offset by resilient early-year expansion and rising inflation linked to global energy costs, reducing immediate pressure for further easing. Traders assign a 90.5% probability to no change in the June fixing as the central bank maintains its moderately accommodative stance through other liquidity tools while monitoring domestic demand and currency stability. A sharper downturn in key indicators or escalation in trade or geopolitical tensions could prompt a cut, though such shifts would need to overcome the current emphasis on measured adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$401Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China has held its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% through multiple monthly fixings into mid-2026, reflecting a pattern of steady policy amid mixed growth signals and external pressures. Recent data showing slower industrial output and retail sales has been offset by resilient early-year expansion and rising inflation linked to global energy costs, reducing immediate pressure for further easing. Traders assign a 90.5% probability to no change in the June fixing as the central bank maintains its moderately accommodative stance through other liquidity tools while monitoring domestic demand and currency stability. A sharper downturn in key indicators or escalation in trade or geopolitical tensions could prompt a cut, though such shifts would need to overcome the current emphasis on measured adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Khối lượng
$401Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China has held its one-year loan prime rate at 3.0% and five-year rate at 3.5% through multiple monthly fixings into mid-2026, reflecting a pattern of steady policy amid mixed growth signals and external pressures. Recent data showing slower industrial output and retail sales has been offset by resilient early-year expansion and rising inflation linked to global energy costs, reducing immediate pressure for further easing. Traders assign a 90.5% probability to no change in the June fixing as the central bank maintains its moderately accommodative stance through other liquidity tools while monitoring domestic demand and currency stability. A sharper downturn in key indicators or escalation in trade or geopolitical tensions could prompt a cut, though such shifts would need to overcome the current emphasis on measured adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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