The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlex Smalley 16.5%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
Ludvig Aberg 14.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.6%
$6,180,295 KL.
$6,180,295 KL.
May 18, 2026
Alex Smalley
17%
Jon Rahm
15%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
7%
Nick Taylor
5%
Scottie Scheffler
5%
Aaron Rai
4%
Patrick Reed
4%
Matti Schmid
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
2%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Brooks Koepka
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Cameron Young
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Jordan Spieth
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Rickie Fowler
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Alex Smalley 16.5%
Jon Rahm 15.4%
Ludvig Aberg 14.0%
Rory McIlroy 12.6%
$6,180,295 KL.
$6,180,295 KL.
May 18, 2026
Alex Smalley
$210,517 KL.
17%
Jon Rahm
$286,118 KL.
15%
Ludvig Aberg
$175,909 KL.
14%
Rory McIlroy
$459,668 KL.
13%
Xander Schauffele
$368,414 KL.
7%
Nick Taylor
$135,984 KL.
5%
Scottie Scheffler
$641,096 KL.
5%
Aaron Rai
$65,377 KL.
4%
Patrick Reed
$92,759 KL.
4%
Matti Schmid
$80,058 KL.
3%
Maverick McNealy
$71,021 KL.
3%
Chris Gotterup
$97,493 KL.
2%
Justin Rose
$126,253 KL.
2%
Min Woo Lee
$157,820 KL.
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
$121,983 KL.
2%
Kristoffer Reitan
$115,288 KL.
2%
Joaquin Niemann
$53,083 KL.
1%
Brooks Koepka
$117,113 KL.
1%
Ben Griffin
$46,318 KL.
1%
Cameron Smith
$55,022 KL.
1%
Cameron Young
$289,394 KL.
1%
Sam Burns
$52,908 KL.
1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 KL.
1%
Kurt Kitayama
$132,054 KL.
1%
Andrew Novak
$935 KL.
1%
Rickie Fowler
$85,149 KL.
1%
Bud Cauley
$41,549 KL.
1%
David Puig
$56,643 KL.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,412 KL.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 KL.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 KL.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,258 KL.
<1%
Harris English
$51,185 KL.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$136,443 KL.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$104,756 KL.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,794 KL.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 KL.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 KL.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$54,789 KL.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 KL.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 KL.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 KL.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 KL.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 KL.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 KL.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 KL.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 KL.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 KL.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 KL.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 KL.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,241 KL.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 KL.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 KL.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 KL.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 KL.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 KL.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$10,945 KL.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 KL.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 KL.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 KL.
<1%
John Parry
$877 KL.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,746 KL.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,180,295Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$6,180,295Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The 2026 PGA Championship presents a wide-open field where the top implied probabilities remain tightly clustered, reflecting golf's inherent unpredictability in major events. Alex Smalley leads at 16.5 percent, followed closely by Jon Rahm, Ludvig Aberg, and Rory McIlroy, with no golfer exceeding 17 percent as traders price in strong recent form, course history, and consistent PGA Tour results from multiple contenders. This bunched pricing highlights how factors like current momentum, head-to-head records on similar layouts, and the potential for any in-form player to peak during the week keep the race competitive rather than dominated by established favorites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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