Entering the final round at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features a bunched leaderboard that has compressed probabilities across the top contenders. Alex Smalley's solo lead after three rounds, combined with steady positioning from Jon Rahm and Ludvig Aberg, has kept the race competitive, while Rory McIlroy's consistent tee-to-green play sustains his share. Recent rounds highlight how the course setup rewards accurate approach shots and bogey avoidance, allowing multiple players within five shots to remain viable. This setup underscores the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, where no single golfer holds a dominant edge entering Sunday.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJon Rahm 37.5%
Ludvig Aberg 15.5%
Rory McIlroy 14.3%
Alex Smalley 12.8%
$6,882,395 KL.
$6,882,395 KL.
Jon Rahm
37%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Alex Smalley
13%
Cameron Smith
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Matti Schmid
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 37.5%
Ludvig Aberg 15.5%
Rory McIlroy 14.3%
Alex Smalley 12.8%
$6,882,395 KL.
$6,882,395 KL.
Jon Rahm
37%
Ludvig Aberg
15%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Alex Smalley
13%
Cameron Smith
4%
Xander Schauffele
4%
Nick Taylor
4%
Aaron Rai
3%
Joaquin Niemann
2%
Justin Rose
2%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Hideki Matsuyama
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Chris Gotterup
1%
Matti Schmid
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Entering the final round at Aronimink Golf Club, the 2026 PGA Championship features a bunched leaderboard that has compressed probabilities across the top contenders. Alex Smalley's solo lead after three rounds, combined with steady positioning from Jon Rahm and Ludvig Aberg, has kept the race competitive, while Rory McIlroy's consistent tee-to-green play sustains his share. Recent rounds highlight how the course setup rewards accurate approach shots and bogey avoidance, allowing multiple players within five shots to remain viable. This setup underscores the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing, where no single golfer holds a dominant edge entering Sunday.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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