The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJon Rahm 16.8%
Alex Smalley 16.5%
Ludvig Aberg 14.4%
Rory McIlroy 13.2%
$6,631,275 KL.
$6,631,275 KL.
May 18, 2026
Jon Rahm
17%
Alex Smalley
17%
Ludvig Aberg
14%
Rory McIlroy
13%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Hideki Matsuyama
6%
Aaron Rai
5%
Nick Taylor
5%
Joaquin Niemann
5%
Patrick Reed
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Matti Schmid
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Cameron Smith
1%
Scottie Scheffler
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
David Puig
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Harris English
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
<1%
Collin Morikawa
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Shane Lowry
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
<1%
Alex Noren
<1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Sam Stevens
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Ryan Fox
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
John Keefer
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Sami Valimaki
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Jason Day
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Matt Wallace
<1%
Daniel Berger
<1%
Ryan Gerard
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
John Parry
<1%
Elvis Smylie
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Jon Rahm 16.8%
Alex Smalley 16.5%
Ludvig Aberg 14.4%
Rory McIlroy 13.2%
$6,631,275 KL.
$6,631,275 KL.
May 18, 2026
Jon Rahm
$301,132 KL.
17%
Alex Smalley
$274,208 KL.
17%
Ludvig Aberg
$180,290 KL.
14%
Rory McIlroy
$494,062 KL.
13%
Xander Schauffele
$372,163 KL.
8%
Hideki Matsuyama
$143,000 KL.
6%
Aaron Rai
$76,676 KL.
5%
Nick Taylor
$150,731 KL.
5%
Joaquin Niemann
$60,066 KL.
5%
Patrick Reed
$107,372 KL.
3%
Maverick McNealy
$73,144 KL.
3%
Matti Schmid
$86,197 KL.
3%
Justin Rose
$161,423 KL.
3%
Chris Gotterup
$117,428 KL.
2%
Cameron Smith
$59,915 KL.
1%
Scottie Scheffler
$700,462 KL.
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$117,284 KL.
1%
David Puig
$58,376 KL.
1%
Ben Griffin
$47,113 KL.
1%
Justin Thomas
$116,532 KL.
1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 KL.
1%
Bud Cauley
$41,681 KL.
1%
Andrew Novak
$935 KL.
1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,018 KL.
1%
Harris English
$56,493 KL.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 KL.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,033 KL.
<1%
Brian Harman
$2,486 KL.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$161,801 KL.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 KL.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 KL.
<1%
Cameron Young
$292,146 KL.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$122,765 KL.
<1%
Patrick Cantlay
$72,794 KL.
<1%
Collin Morikawa
$210,723 KL.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 KL.
<1%
Shane Lowry
$74,556 KL.
<1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$54,789 KL.
<1%
Alex Noren
$4,596 KL.
<1%
Corey Conners
$45,221 KL.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,000 KL.
<1%
Sam Stevens
$39,906 KL.
<1%
Sahith Theegala
$54,523 KL.
<1%
Michael Brennan
$14,720 KL.
<1%
Ryan Fox
$6,101 KL.
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
$48,170 KL.
<1%
John Keefer
$1,305 KL.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 KL.
<1%
Sami Valimaki
$1,835 KL.
<1%
Daniel Brown
$8,963 KL.
<1%
Jason Day
$48,263 KL.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 KL.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 KL.
<1%
Matt Wallace
$1,165 KL.
<1%
Daniel Berger
$26,588 KL.
<1%
Ryan Gerard
$21,069 KL.
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
$86,198 KL.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 KL.
<1%
Keith Mitchell
$1,956 KL.
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
$4,146 KL.
<1%
John Parry
$877 KL.
<1%
Elvis Smylie
$1,759 KL.
<1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
$3,367 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,631,275Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$6,631,275Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities among top contenders for the 2026 PGA Championship reflect a wide-open major where recent form, course history, and major pedigree keep several players within striking distance. Alex Smalley leads the trader consensus at 17.2 percent, narrowly ahead of Jon Rahm at 16.7 percent, Ludvig Aberg at 14.8 percent, and Rory McIlroy at 13.8 percent, illustrating how the wisdom of crowds prices the field when no single golfer has pulled away. Strong season-long momentum, prior major results, and the demands of a demanding stroke-play layout continue to compress the odds at the top, leaving room for late leaderboard movement or strong final-round surges to reshape the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp