Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,678,442 KL.
$8,678,442 KL.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
100%
Scottie Scheffler
<1%
Rory McIlroy
<1%
Cameron Young
<1%
Jon Rahm
<1%
Xander Schauffele
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
<1%
Justin Thomas
<1%
Brooks Koepka
<1%
Sam Burns
<1%
Chris Gotterup
<1%
Jordan Spieth
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
<1%
Maverick McNealy
<1%
Alex Smalley
<1%
Haotong Li
<1%
Cameron Smith
<1%
Andrew Novak
<1%
Andrew Putnam
<1%
Min Woo Lee
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Rickie Fowler
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
<1%
Si Woo Kim
<1%
Patrick Reed
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Harris English
<1%
Ben Griffin
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
<1%
David Puig
<1%
Brian Harman
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Nick Taylor
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Matti Schmid
<1%
Aaron Rai 100.0%
Scottie Scheffler <1%
Rory McIlroy <1%
Cameron Young <1%
$8,678,442 KL.
$8,678,442 KL.
May 18, 2026
Aaron Rai
$304,871 KL.
100%
Scottie Scheffler
$757,459 KL.
<1%
Rory McIlroy
$839,705 KL.
<1%
Cameron Young
$296,075 KL.
<1%
Jon Rahm
$715,827 KL.
<1%
Xander Schauffele
$509,558 KL.
<1%
Ludvig Aberg
$306,758 KL.
<1%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$162,805 KL.
<1%
Justin Thomas
$184,481 KL.
<1%
Brooks Koepka
$125,896 KL.
<1%
Sam Burns
$54,571 KL.
<1%
Chris Gotterup
$125,271 KL.
<1%
Jordan Spieth
$91,722 KL.
<1%
Kurt Kitayama
$134,675 KL.
<1%
Maverick McNealy
$85,949 KL.
<1%
Alex Smalley
$377,275 KL.
<1%
Haotong Li
$195,029 KL.
<1%
Cameron Smith
$146,359 KL.
<1%
Andrew Novak
$935 KL.
<1%
Andrew Putnam
$5,544 KL.
<1%
Min Woo Lee
$164,791 KL.
<1%
Justin Rose
$177,264 KL.
<1%
Rickie Fowler
$88,039 KL.
<1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$66,525 KL.
<1%
Si Woo Kim
$61,267 KL.
<1%
Patrick Reed
$179,933 KL.
<1%
Hideki Matsuyama
$163,763 KL.
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
$132,700 KL.
<1%
Harris English
$59,500 KL.
<1%
Ben Griffin
$53,171 KL.
<1%
Joaquin Niemann
$80,009 KL.
<1%
David Puig
$58,385 KL.
<1%
Brian Harman
$3,816 KL.
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
$1,848 KL.
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
$103,305 KL.
<1%
Nick Taylor
$241,580 KL.
<1%
Bud Cauley
$42,600 KL.
<1%
Dustin Johnson
$21,736 KL.
<1%
Matti Schmid
$277,045 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,678,442Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
This market will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 PGA Championship scheduled for May 14-17, 2026.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If this player misses the cut, withdraws, is disqualified or otherwise eliminated from contention from the PGA Championship based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Championship official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 PGA Championship is cancelled, postponed, or there is otherwise no official winner declared by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA Championship website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$8,678,442Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 8:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Aaron Rai's commanding final-round surge at Aronimink Golf Club, capped by a record-tying low score and clutch long-range birdie on the closing holes, has driven trader consensus to price him at essentially 100% implied probability for the 2026 PGA Championship. Recent form entering the week, strong approach play, and steady putting under major pressure created separation from the field, while the wisdom of crowds in this futures market quickly reflected the insurmountable lead. With the event now concluded, only an unprecedented rules reversal or scoring dispute could realistically shift the outcome, though such developments remain highly improbable given official confirmation of results.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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