Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs the Cincinnati Bengals at 86% implied probability for Dexter Lawrence's Week 1 destination, driven by his April 19 trade from the New York Giants—straight up for Cincinnati's No. 10 draft pick—and immediate one-year, $28 million fully guaranteed extension that secures him through the 2026 regular season. The All-Pro defensive tackle's addition addresses Bengals' defensive line needs after a disappointing 2025, with no injury reports, holdouts, or trade rumors surfacing in the past 30 days amid his smooth OTA and minicamp integration. Realistic challengers include a training camp injury sidelining him to injured reserve, contract impasse leading to a holdout, or surprise preseason roster move, but these low-likelihood scenarios explain the residual 14% distributed across alternatives like the Chargers.