Recent RBA communications following the May 5 cash rate hike to 4.35 percent have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting, as the board signaled intent to assess the lagged effects of three 2026 tightenings amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East fuel price shocks. Market-implied odds of no change at 81.5 percent reflect this cautious stance, reinforced by labor market resilience and the absence of fresh downside surprises in recent CPI prints, while the 21 percent probability of a further increase captures lingering risks if goods and services price pressures broaden. A cut remains negligible at 0.4 percent given the current policy rate well above neutral and forward-looking data dependence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo Change 83%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 KL.
$25,462 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
82%
Increase
21%
No Change 83%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 KL.
$25,462 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
$7,827 KL.
<1%
No Change
$8,790 KL.
82%
Increase
$8,845 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent RBA communications following the May 5 cash rate hike to 4.35 percent have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting, as the board signaled intent to assess the lagged effects of three 2026 tightenings amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East fuel price shocks. Market-implied odds of no change at 81.5 percent reflect this cautious stance, reinforced by labor market resilience and the absence of fresh downside surprises in recent CPI prints, while the 21 percent probability of a further increase captures lingering risks if goods and services price pressures broaden. A cut remains negligible at 0.4 percent given the current policy rate well above neutral and forward-looking data dependence.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,462Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.Recent RBA communications following the May 5 cash rate hike to 4.35 percent have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting, as the board signaled intent to assess the lagged effects of three 2026 tightenings amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East fuel price shocks. Market-implied odds of no change at 81.5 percent reflect this cautious stance, reinforced by labor market resilience and the absence of fresh downside surprises in recent CPI prints, while the 21 percent probability of a further increase captures lingering risks if goods and services price pressures broaden. A cut remains negligible at 0.4 percent given the current policy rate well above neutral and forward-looking data dependence.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$25,462Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent RBA communications following the May 5 cash rate hike to 4.35 percent have anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 16 meeting, as the board signaled intent to assess the lagged effects of three 2026 tightenings amid persistent inflation pressures from Middle East fuel price shocks. Market-implied odds of no change at 81.5 percent reflect this cautious stance, reinforced by labor market resilience and the absence of fresh downside surprises in recent CPI prints, while the 21 percent probability of a further increase captures lingering risks if goods and services price pressures broaden. A cut remains negligible at 0.4 percent given the current policy rate well above neutral and forward-looking data dependence.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp