The Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, approved in an 8-1 vote amid elevated inflation risks from the Middle East oil situation and second-round effects on goods and services prices, anchors current market-implied odds for the June 16 meeting. With headline inflation now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter and trimmed-mean measures remaining above 3 percent into mid-2027 according to the latest Statement on Monetary Policy, traders see limited scope for an immediate follow-up hike. Recent ASX futures pricing reflects only modest expectations of further tightening this month, consistent with forecasts of slower economic growth and a gradual labor-market easing that could temper near-term policy urgency.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo Change 82%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 KL.
$25,462 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
<1%
No Change
82%
Increase
21%
No Change 82%
Increase 21%
Decrease <1%
$25,462 KL.
$25,462 KL.
Jun 16, 2026
Decrease
$7,827 KL.
<1%
No Change
$8,790 KL.
82%
Increase
$8,845 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, approved in an 8-1 vote amid elevated inflation risks from the Middle East oil situation and second-round effects on goods and services prices, anchors current market-implied odds for the June 16 meeting. With headline inflation now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter and trimmed-mean measures remaining above 3 percent into mid-2027 according to the latest Statement on Monetary Policy, traders see limited scope for an immediate follow-up hike. Recent ASX futures pricing reflects only modest expectations of further tightening this month, consistent with forecasts of slower economic growth and a gradual labor-market easing that could temper near-term policy urgency.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,462Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, approved in an 8-1 vote amid elevated inflation risks from the Middle East oil situation and second-round effects on goods and services prices, anchors current market-implied odds for the June 16 meeting. With headline inflation now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter and trimmed-mean measures remaining above 3 percent into mid-2027 according to the latest Statement on Monetary Policy, traders see limited scope for an immediate follow-up hike. Recent ASX futures pricing reflects only modest expectations of further tightening this month, consistent with forecasts of slower economic growth and a gradual labor-market easing that could temper near-term policy urgency.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s June meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its June 16, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their June 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
Khối lượng
$25,462Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reserve Bank of Australia's May 5 decision to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 percent, approved in an 8-1 vote amid elevated inflation risks from the Middle East oil situation and second-round effects on goods and services prices, anchors current market-implied odds for the June 16 meeting. With headline inflation now projected to peak near 4.8 percent in the June quarter and trimmed-mean measures remaining above 3 percent into mid-2027 according to the latest Statement on Monetary Policy, traders see limited scope for an immediate follow-up hike. Recent ASX futures pricing reflects only modest expectations of further tightening this month, consistent with forecasts of slower economic growth and a gradual labor-market easing that could temper near-term policy urgency.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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