Trader consensus shows a tight contest between "Other" outcomes and a Democratic sweep of the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats, priced near 50% and 46% respectively. Competitive polling averages in Michigan and Maine, combined with Texas remaining a Republican-leaning contest, sustain the balance, as small shifts in swing-state turnout or national sentiment can alter multiple seat results. Primary outcomes, candidate positioning on economic and border security issues, and early fundraising reports have reinforced uncertainty ahead of the general election. Scheduled debates and late-cycle polling releases within the resolution window could widen gaps by clarifying paths to victory in the battleground races.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 46%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 19%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI 18%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
46%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
19%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
18%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
13%
Reps sweep
11%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
8%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
11%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
3%
Dems sweep 46%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME 19%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI 18%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$43 KL.
46%
Reps TX, Dems MI & ME
$24 KL.
19%
Dems TX & ME, Reps MI
$46 KL.
18%
Reps TX & MI, Dems ME
$45 KL.
13%
Reps sweep
$24 KL.
11%
Dems TX, Reps MI & ME
$44 KL.
8%
Reps TX & ME, Dems MI
$24 KL.
11%
Dems TX & MI, Reps ME
$21 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Trader consensus shows a tight contest between "Other" outcomes and a Democratic sweep of the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats, priced near 50% and 46% respectively. Competitive polling averages in Michigan and Maine, combined with Texas remaining a Republican-leaning contest, sustain the balance, as small shifts in swing-state turnout or national sentiment can alter multiple seat results. Primary outcomes, candidate positioning on economic and border security issues, and early fundraising reports have reinforced uncertainty ahead of the general election. Scheduled debates and late-cycle polling releases within the resolution window could widen gaps by clarifying paths to victory in the battleground races.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$270Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Trader consensus shows a tight contest between "Other" outcomes and a Democratic sweep of the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats, priced near 50% and 46% respectively. Competitive polling averages in Michigan and Maine, combined with Texas remaining a Republican-leaning contest, sustain the balance, as small shifts in swing-state turnout or national sentiment can alter multiple seat results. Primary outcomes, candidate positioning on economic and border security issues, and early fundraising reports have reinforced uncertainty ahead of the general election. Scheduled debates and late-cycle polling releases within the resolution window could widen gaps by clarifying paths to victory in the battleground races.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$270Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows a tight contest between "Other" outcomes and a Democratic sweep of the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats, priced near 50% and 46% respectively. Competitive polling averages in Michigan and Maine, combined with Texas remaining a Republican-leaning contest, sustain the balance, as small shifts in swing-state turnout or national sentiment can alter multiple seat results. Primary outcomes, candidate positioning on economic and border security issues, and early fundraising reports have reinforced uncertainty ahead of the general election. Scheduled debates and late-cycle polling releases within the resolution window could widen gaps by clarifying paths to victory in the battleground races.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp