Polymarket traders price a closely contested year-end S&P 500 close, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a slim 27% implied probability edge over $6,500-$7,000 at 24%, reflecting tug-of-war between tech-driven gains and sticky inflation risks. April 2026 core CPI came in hotter than expected, prompting a market pullback last week amid surging oil prices, even as the index notched YTD gains of 8.75% to hover near 7,444. The Fed's April 29 decision to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%—with notable dissent—dashed near-term rate cut hopes despite stable 4.3% unemployment. Bullish analyst targets like Yardeni's 8,250 highlight AI productivity tailwinds, but trader consensus embeds caution on valuations and growth slowdowns ahead of June FOMC and May CPI data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$7,500-$8,000 15%
$6,500-$7,000 15%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$25,219 KL.
$25,219 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
14%
$6,000-$6,500
15%
$6,500-$7,000
21%
$7,000-$7,500
28%
$7,500-$8,000
15%
>$8,000
13%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$7,500-$8,000 15%
$6,500-$7,000 15%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$25,219 KL.
$25,219 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$15,544 KL.
14%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,479 KL.
15%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,389 KL.
21%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 KL.
28%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,401 KL.
15%
>$8,000
$2,293 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price a closely contested year-end S&P 500 close, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a slim 27% implied probability edge over $6,500-$7,000 at 24%, reflecting tug-of-war between tech-driven gains and sticky inflation risks. April 2026 core CPI came in hotter than expected, prompting a market pullback last week amid surging oil prices, even as the index notched YTD gains of 8.75% to hover near 7,444. The Fed's April 29 decision to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%—with notable dissent—dashed near-term rate cut hopes despite stable 4.3% unemployment. Bullish analyst targets like Yardeni's 8,250 highlight AI productivity tailwinds, but trader consensus embeds caution on valuations and growth slowdowns ahead of June FOMC and May CPI data.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,219Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price a closely contested year-end S&P 500 close, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a slim 27% implied probability edge over $6,500-$7,000 at 24%, reflecting tug-of-war between tech-driven gains and sticky inflation risks. April 2026 core CPI came in hotter than expected, prompting a market pullback last week amid surging oil prices, even as the index notched YTD gains of 8.75% to hover near 7,444. The Fed's April 29 decision to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%—with notable dissent—dashed near-term rate cut hopes despite stable 4.3% unemployment. Bullish analyst targets like Yardeni's 8,250 highlight AI productivity tailwinds, but trader consensus embeds caution on valuations and growth slowdowns ahead of June FOMC and May CPI data.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Khối lượng
$25,219Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a closely contested year-end S&P 500 close, with the $7,000-$7,500 bin holding a slim 27% implied probability edge over $6,500-$7,000 at 24%, reflecting tug-of-war between tech-driven gains and sticky inflation risks. April 2026 core CPI came in hotter than expected, prompting a market pullback last week amid surging oil prices, even as the index notched YTD gains of 8.75% to hover near 7,444. The Fed's April 29 decision to hold fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%—with notable dissent—dashed near-term rate cut hopes despite stable 4.3% unemployment. Bullish analyst targets like Yardeni's 8,250 highlight AI productivity tailwinds, but trader consensus embeds caution on valuations and growth slowdowns ahead of June FOMC and May CPI data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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