Recent polls show Texas Governor Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, while Democratic state Representative James Talarico leads or runs even with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race. These tight contests, shaped by suburban voter shifts, Democratic consolidation, and questions over Paxton's general-election appeal after his primary victory, make unified Republican or Democratic control less probable. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest implied probability to "Other" at 50 percent, with split outcomes each at 37.5 percent and a Democratic sweep at just 17 percent, reflecting the state's underlying Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtReps sweep 38%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 38%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 37%
Dems sweep 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
17%
Reps sweep
38%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
38%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
37%
Reps sweep 38%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 38%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 37%
Dems sweep 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$0 KL.
17%
Reps sweep
$0 KL.
38%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$0 KL.
38%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$0 KL.
37%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polls show Texas Governor Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, while Democratic state Representative James Talarico leads or runs even with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race. These tight contests, shaped by suburban voter shifts, Democratic consolidation, and questions over Paxton's general-election appeal after his primary victory, make unified Republican or Democratic control less probable. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest implied probability to "Other" at 50 percent, with split outcomes each at 37.5 percent and a Democratic sweep at just 17 percent, reflecting the state's underlying Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Recent polls show Texas Governor Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, while Democratic state Representative James Talarico leads or runs even with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race. These tight contests, shaped by suburban voter shifts, Democratic consolidation, and questions over Paxton's general-election appeal after his primary victory, make unified Republican or Democratic control less probable. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest implied probability to "Other" at 50 percent, with split outcomes each at 37.5 percent and a Democratic sweep at just 17 percent, reflecting the state's underlying Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Texas that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Texas Governor Greg Abbott holding a narrow edge or statistical tie over Democrat Gina Hinojosa, while Democratic state Representative James Talarico leads or runs even with Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate race. These tight contests, shaped by suburban voter shifts, Democratic consolidation, and questions over Paxton's general-election appeal after his primary victory, make unified Republican or Democratic control less probable. Trader consensus therefore assigns the highest implied probability to "Other" at 50 percent, with split outcomes each at 37.5 percent and a Democratic sweep at just 17 percent, reflecting the state's underlying Republican tilt offset by competitive statewide dynamics ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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