Magnus Carlsen holds the highest implied probability in trader consensus for the August 18 Titled Tuesday due to his recent 9.5/11 victory on August 4 ahead of Arjun Erigaisi and Hikaru Nakamura, combined with his sustained dominance in online blitz and prior world rapid/blitz titles. Nakamura sits second on the back of strong historical results and rating edges in similar fields. The broad distribution of probabilities across dozens of grandmasters reflects the event's Swiss format, large entry of elite players, and high variance inherent to 3+2 blitz, where any top contender can post a winning score on a given Tuesday. Recent form, head-to-head blitz records, and schedule factors like rest between rounds continue to shape positioning in this open competition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMagnus Carlsen 23%
Hikaru Nakamura 16%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Hikaru Nakamura
16%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Magnus Carlsen 23%
Hikaru Nakamura 16%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Magnus Carlsen
23%
Hikaru Nakamura
16%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Arjun Erigaisi
5%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Vladimir Fedoseev
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Awonder Liang
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Aleksei Sarana
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
David Anton
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sam Sevian
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen holds the highest implied probability in trader consensus for the August 18 Titled Tuesday due to his recent 9.5/11 victory on August 4 ahead of Arjun Erigaisi and Hikaru Nakamura, combined with his sustained dominance in online blitz and prior world rapid/blitz titles. Nakamura sits second on the back of strong historical results and rating edges in similar fields. The broad distribution of probabilities across dozens of grandmasters reflects the event's Swiss format, large entry of elite players, and high variance inherent to 3+2 blitz, where any top contender can post a winning score on a given Tuesday. Recent form, head-to-head blitz records, and schedule factors like rest between rounds continue to shape positioning in this open competition.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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