**Persistent US sanctions, a naval blockade on Iranian oil exports, and elevated inflation continue to constrain hard currency inflows and pressure the free-market rial.** Since the 2026 conflict escalation, exports have fallen sharply, widening the gap between the official rate near 1.37 million IRR per USD and the street rate near 2.3 million. Recent measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” and ongoing restrictions have reinforced expectations of further depreciation through year-end. Traders price the highest probabilities on the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands, reflecting the balance between sustained economic strain and limited scope for rapid additional weakening absent major new shocks. Central bank interventions and any diplomatic shifts remain key variables that could alter the path by December.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 24%
<2.0M 21%
3.0 - 3.5M 18%
$15,339 KL.
$15,339 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
21%
2.0 - 2.5M
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
24%
3.0 - 3.5M
18%
3.5 - 4.0M
4%
4.0M+
4%
2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 24%
<2.0M 21%
3.0 - 3.5M 18%
$15,339 KL.
$15,339 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
$5,170 KL.
21%
2.0 - 2.5M
$4,024 KL.
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
$1,839 KL.
24%
3.0 - 3.5M
$2,193 KL.
18%
3.5 - 4.0M
$1,605 KL.
4%
4.0M+
$509 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Persistent US sanctions, a naval blockade on Iranian oil exports, and elevated inflation continue to constrain hard currency inflows and pressure the free-market rial.** Since the 2026 conflict escalation, exports have fallen sharply, widening the gap between the official rate near 1.37 million IRR per USD and the street rate near 2.3 million. Recent measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” and ongoing restrictions have reinforced expectations of further depreciation through year-end. Traders price the highest probabilities on the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands, reflecting the balance between sustained economic strain and limited scope for rapid additional weakening absent major new shocks. Central bank interventions and any diplomatic shifts remain key variables that could alter the path by December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,339Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Persistent US sanctions, a naval blockade on Iranian oil exports, and elevated inflation continue to constrain hard currency inflows and pressure the free-market rial.** Since the 2026 conflict escalation, exports have fallen sharply, widening the gap between the official rate near 1.37 million IRR per USD and the street rate near 2.3 million. Recent measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” and ongoing restrictions have reinforced expectations of further depreciation through year-end. Traders price the highest probabilities on the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands, reflecting the balance between sustained economic strain and limited scope for rapid additional weakening absent major new shocks. Central bank interventions and any diplomatic shifts remain key variables that could alter the path by December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$15,339Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent US sanctions, a naval blockade on Iranian oil exports, and elevated inflation continue to constrain hard currency inflows and pressure the free-market rial.** Since the 2026 conflict escalation, exports have fallen sharply, widening the gap between the official rate near 1.37 million IRR per USD and the street rate near 2.3 million. Recent measures under “Operation Economic Outcast” and ongoing restrictions have reinforced expectations of further depreciation through year-end. Traders price the highest probabilities on the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands, reflecting the balance between sustained economic strain and limited scope for rapid additional weakening absent major new shocks. Central bank interventions and any diplomatic shifts remain key variables that could alter the path by December.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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