Recent U.S. inflation data at 3.8% for April 2026, the highest since 2023 and fueled by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions including the blocked Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end while keeping the policy rate anchored in the 3.50%–3.75% range. This has contributed to a firmer U.S. dollar and a pullback in gold futures from January highs near $5,589 to the current $4,500–$4,700 range. Offsetting these headwinds are persistent central bank purchases averaging 585 tonnes quarterly and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, which continue to underpin long-term demand. Analysts at J.P. Morgan project prices toward $5,000 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2026, with potential for further gains if fiscal concerns or safe-haven flows intensify.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
$291,659 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $15,000
4%
↑ $12,000
5%
↑ $10,000
6%
↑ $8,000
7%
↑ $7,000
12%
↑ $6,000
30%
$291,659 KL.
↑ $15,000
$26,367 KL.
4%
↑ $12,000
$37,998 KL.
5%
↑ $10,000
$22,277 KL.
6%
↑ $8,000
$22,026 KL.
7%
↑ $7,000
$44,405 KL.
12%
↑ $6,000
$138,586 KL.
30%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent U.S. inflation data at 3.8% for April 2026, the highest since 2023 and fueled by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions including the blocked Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end while keeping the policy rate anchored in the 3.50%–3.75% range. This has contributed to a firmer U.S. dollar and a pullback in gold futures from January highs near $5,589 to the current $4,500–$4,700 range. Offsetting these headwinds are persistent central bank purchases averaging 585 tonnes quarterly and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, which continue to underpin long-term demand. Analysts at J.P. Morgan project prices toward $5,000 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2026, with potential for further gains if fiscal concerns or safe-haven flows intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$291,659Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Recent U.S. inflation data at 3.8% for April 2026, the highest since 2023 and fueled by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions including the blocked Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end while keeping the policy rate anchored in the 3.50%–3.75% range. This has contributed to a firmer U.S. dollar and a pullback in gold futures from January highs near $5,589 to the current $4,500–$4,700 range. Offsetting these headwinds are persistent central bank purchases averaging 585 tonnes quarterly and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, which continue to underpin long-term demand. Analysts at J.P. Morgan project prices toward $5,000 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2026, with potential for further gains if fiscal concerns or safe-haven flows intensify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Khối lượng
$291,659Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. inflation data at 3.8% for April 2026, the highest since 2023 and fueled by energy price spikes from Middle East tensions including the blocked Strait of Hormuz, has eliminated market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end while keeping the policy rate anchored in the 3.50%–3.75% range. This has contributed to a firmer U.S. dollar and a pullback in gold futures from January highs near $5,589 to the current $4,500–$4,700 range. Offsetting these headwinds are persistent central bank purchases averaging 585 tonnes quarterly and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, which continue to underpin long-term demand. Analysts at J.P. Morgan project prices toward $5,000 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2026, with potential for further gains if fiscal concerns or safe-haven flows intensify.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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