Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$335K - $340K 37%
$325K - $330K 18.3%
$340K - $345K 14%
$345K+ 8%
$76,756 KL.
$76,756 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
<$320K
1%
$320K - $325K
1%
$325K - $330K
11%
$330K - $335K
6%
$335K - $340K
37%
$340K - $345K
14%
$345K+
8%
$335K - $340K 37%
$325K - $330K 18.3%
$340K - $345K 14%
$345K+ 8%
$76,756 KL.
$76,756 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
<$320K
$2,375 KL.
1%
$320K - $325K
$2,262 KL.
1%
$325K - $330K
$2,912 KL.
11%
$330K - $335K
$6,995 KL.
6%
$335K - $340K
$15,901 KL.
37%
$340K - $345K
$18,345 KL.
14%
$345K+
$27,965 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$76,756Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago Metro, IL on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago Metro, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago Metro. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/54)
Khối lượng
$76,756Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index levels near $338,000 as of late July 2026, reflecting 4.5% year-over-year appreciation, underpin the 36.5% market-implied probability for the $335K–$340K bin on September 30. Persistent inventory shortages, steady local employment from corporate headquarters, and mortgage rates holding near 6% continue to support modest price gains despite broader cooling in national home-price growth. Traders appear to price in limited near-term volatility, with tighter supply and resilient buyer demand outweighing seasonal softening risks through the third quarter.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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