Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% and subdued buyer demand continue to limit upward pressure on U.S. home values, keeping the latest median metrics clustered below or near the $419,000 threshold. Existing-home median sales prices reached $429,100 in August per FRED data while Zillow's ZHVI stood at $368,697 as of late August, reflecting only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid elevated inventory and longer days on market. Modest seasonal softening in list prices and sales volume has reinforced trader consensus around the sub-$419,000 and $419,000–$426,000 buckets, which together capture over 94% of current market-implied odds. With September 30 resolution approaching, any final index print will hinge on whether persistent affordability constraints outweigh limited supply-driven support in the coming data releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<$419K 63.7%
$419K - $426K 31.1%
$454K+ <1%
$426K - $433K <1%
$92,957 KL.
$92,957 KL.
Oct 10, 2026
<$419K
64%
$419K - $426K
31%
$426K - $433K
1%
$433K - $440K
<1%
$440K - $447K
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454K+
1%
<$419K 63.7%
$419K - $426K 31.1%
$454K+ <1%
$426K - $433K <1%
$92,957 KL.
$92,957 KL.
Oct 10, 2026
<$419K
$28,121 KL.
64%
$419K - $426K
$21,462 KL.
31%
$426K - $433K
$11,962 KL.
1%
$433K - $440K
$18,409 KL.
<1%
$440K - $447K
$5,674 KL.
<1%
$447K - $454K
$5,528 KL.
<1%
$454K+
$1,802 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% and subdued buyer demand continue to limit upward pressure on U.S. home values, keeping the latest median metrics clustered below or near the $419,000 threshold. Existing-home median sales prices reached $429,100 in August per FRED data while Zillow's ZHVI stood at $368,697 as of late August, reflecting only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid elevated inventory and longer days on market. Modest seasonal softening in list prices and sales volume has reinforced trader consensus around the sub-$419,000 and $419,000–$426,000 buckets, which together capture over 94% of current market-implied odds. With September 30 resolution approaching, any final index print will hinge on whether persistent affordability constraints outweigh limited supply-driven support in the coming data releases.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$92,957Ngày kết thúc
Oct 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% and subdued buyer demand continue to limit upward pressure on U.S. home values, keeping the latest median metrics clustered below or near the $419,000 threshold. Existing-home median sales prices reached $429,100 in August per FRED data while Zillow's ZHVI stood at $368,697 as of late August, reflecting only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid elevated inventory and longer days on market. Modest seasonal softening in list prices and sales volume has reinforced trader consensus around the sub-$419,000 and $419,000–$426,000 buckets, which together capture over 94% of current market-implied odds. With September 30 resolution approaching, any final index print will hinge on whether persistent affordability constraints outweigh limited supply-driven support in the coming data releases.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Khối lượng
$92,957Ngày kết thúc
Oct 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.7% and subdued buyer demand continue to limit upward pressure on U.S. home values, keeping the latest median metrics clustered below or near the $419,000 threshold. Existing-home median sales prices reached $429,100 in August per FRED data while Zillow's ZHVI stood at $368,697 as of late August, reflecting only 1.2% year-over-year growth amid elevated inventory and longer days on market. Modest seasonal softening in list prices and sales volume has reinforced trader consensus around the sub-$419,000 and $419,000–$426,000 buckets, which together capture over 94% of current market-implied odds. With September 30 resolution approaching, any final index print will hinge on whether persistent affordability constraints outweigh limited supply-driven support in the coming data releases.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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