Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month, driven by a nearly 4% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply concerns, has reinforced trader focus on persistent energy and pipeline pressures heading into the September reading. With headline CPI also printing 0.4% month-over-month in line with consensus and the annual rate holding at 3.4%, markets price elevated odds around a 0.5% September month-over-month outcome as the leading scenario. Key swing factors include further energy volatility, shelter cost trends, and any early signs of goods price pass-through from producer data. The October 14 CPI release will provide the first full post-FOMC view, while near-term labor and producer price prints could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0.5% 31%
0.6% 20%
0.7% 16%
0.4% 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
6%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
12%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
15%
0.5%
31%
0.6%
20%
0.7%
16%
≥0.8%
13%
0.5% 31%
0.6% 20%
0.7% 16%
0.4% 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 14, 2026
≤0.0%
$50 KL.
6%
0.1%
$20 KL.
5%
0.2%
$20 KL.
12%
0.3%
$20 KL.
5%
0.4%
$20 KL.
15%
0.5%
$390 KL.
31%
0.6%
$20 KL.
20%
0.7%
$20 KL.
16%
≥0.8%
$376 KL.
13%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month, driven by a nearly 4% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply concerns, has reinforced trader focus on persistent energy and pipeline pressures heading into the September reading. With headline CPI also printing 0.4% month-over-month in line with consensus and the annual rate holding at 3.4%, markets price elevated odds around a 0.5% September month-over-month outcome as the leading scenario. Key swing factors include further energy volatility, shelter cost trends, and any early signs of goods price pass-through from producer data. The October 14 CPI release will provide the first full post-FOMC view, while near-term labor and producer price prints could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$932Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month, driven by a nearly 4% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply concerns, has reinforced trader focus on persistent energy and pipeline pressures heading into the September reading. With headline CPI also printing 0.4% month-over-month in line with consensus and the annual rate holding at 3.4%, markets price elevated odds around a 0.5% September month-over-month outcome as the leading scenario. Key swing factors include further energy volatility, shelter cost trends, and any early signs of goods price pass-through from producer data. The October 14 CPI release will provide the first full post-FOMC view, while near-term labor and producer price prints could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$932Ngày kết thúc
Oct 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent hotter-than-expected August core CPI at 0.3% month-over-month, driven by a nearly 4% surge in gasoline prices amid Middle East supply concerns, has reinforced trader focus on persistent energy and pipeline pressures heading into the September reading. With headline CPI also printing 0.4% month-over-month in line with consensus and the annual rate holding at 3.4%, markets price elevated odds around a 0.5% September month-over-month outcome as the leading scenario. Key swing factors include further energy volatility, shelter cost trends, and any early signs of goods price pass-through from producer data. The October 14 CPI release will provide the first full post-FOMC view, while near-term labor and producer price prints could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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